Why Go Short?

by: , Chief Investment Officer and Managing Director | IndexIQ

Bond returns are primarily a function of two things: interest rates and duration. Interest rates are intended to reflect the cost of money, adjusted for credit risk and other factors. They go up and down based on economic conditions and, as we all know, the actions of the Federal Reserve, among other factors.

Duration is a little more abstract. It’s defined as the sensitivity of the price of a bond to changes in interest rates. But the word “duration” suggests the passage of time and that sensitivity is correlated to the term of the loan – the point in the future at which the bonds must be paid off and the money returned to the lender. It’s generally assumed that the longer that time the greater the risk, and, as a result, the greater the sensitivity to changes in interest rates.

If you hold to maturity, the date on which the bond comes due – and there’s no intervening credit event – then you get your money back plus all the interest you earned along the way. In the meantime, bond prices can be volatile and, if you need to sell for any reason, you may or may not get back the face value of the bonds. And, of course, there’s the emotional stress of watching the value of an investment go up and down.

For that reason, many investors have turned to short-duration bonds to generate income while providing some protection against market volatility. Short-duration funds tend to be especially attractive during periods of rising interest rates, because as the name suggests, their “duration” or sensitivity to changes in interest rates is limited. Rising interest rates can have a negative impact on the value of the underlying securities since bond prices go down when rates go up and vice versa. And while the Fed has most recently signaled a slowdown in rate increases, the Fed funds rate has mostly been going up over the last 3 years– rising from zero in the wake of the Financial Crisis to a current range of 2.25 – 2.50%1. Yields on treasuries and corporate debt have moved up as well, increasing the income available to investors at the short end of the yield curve.

In early February, two-year U.S. Treasuries were trading to yield a little over 2.5%2. As of January 31, 2019, investment grade corporates3 with a similar duration are yielding around 3.27% and short-term high yield bonds4 carried a yield of around 6.96% for those rated BBB or worse. A portfolio that combines these assets can provide an attractive return while managing for volatility. In an ETF, that return can potentially be improved by using a factor-based approach to the index construction process.

As we have noted before in this recent blog, with other bond instruments, one factor that has shown the ability to add value over time is momentum. By including a momentum screen in the index construction process we can overweight and underweight various sectors of the investment grade floating rate, short-term Treasury, investment grade and high yield markets, looking to move towards those that demonstrate the best return characteristics. This, in turn, can potentially lead to outperformance versus the index.

Like all investing, bonds are a risk/return calculation. With a relatively flat yield curve at the moment, investors who “go short” give up a small amount of yield while managing duration risk. It’s a trade worth considering.

SDAG, IQ Short Duration Enhanced Core Bond U.S. ETF, was recently nominated for two 2018 ETF.com Awards:

Best New U.S. Fixed Income ETF and Best New Smart Beta or Factor ETF

1. Source: Federal Open Market Committee, as of February 7, 2019.

2. Source: wwww.treasury.gov.

3. As represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate 1-5Y Total Return Index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

4. As represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield 350M Cash Pay 0-5Y 2% Cap Total Return Index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Click on the fund name for the most current fund page, which includes, the prospectus, investment objectives, performance, risk, and other important information. Returns represent past performance which is no guarantee of future results. Current performance may be lower or higher. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Visit nylinvestments.com/funds for the most recent month-end performance.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results, which will vary. All investments are subject to market risk and will fluctuate in value.

This material represents an assessment of the market environment as at a specific date; is subject to change; and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research or investment advice regarding the funds or any issuer or security in particular.

The strategies discussed are strictly for illustrative and educational purposes and are not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. There is no guarantee that any strategies discussed will be effective.

This material contains general information only and does not take into account an individual’s financial circumstances. This information should not be relied upon as a primary basis for an investment decision. Rather, an assessment should be made as to whether the information is appropriate in individual circumstances and consideration should be given to talking to a financial advisor before making an investment decision.

The Financial Crisis of 2007–2008, also known as the global financial crisis,  began in 2007 with a crisis in the subprime mortgage market in the United States, and developed into a full-blown international banking crisis with the collapse of the investment bank Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008.

U.S. Treasuries are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government as to payment of principal and interest if held to maturity.

The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate 1-5Y Total Return Index measures the investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes USD denominated securities publicly issued by US and non-US industrial, utility and financial issuers.

The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield 350M Cash Pay 0-5Y 2% Cap Total Return Index measures the market of USD denominated, noninvestment-grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bonds. The index limits the exposure of each issuer to 2% of the total market value and redistributes any excess market value index-wide on a pro-rata basis.

Consider the Funds’ investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. The prospectus and the statement of additional information include this and other relevant information about the Funds and are available by visiting IQetfs.com or calling (888) 474-7725. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.

New York Life Investments is a service mark and name under which New York Life Investment Management LLC does business. New York Life Investments, an indirect subsidiary of New York Life Insurance Company, located at 51 Madison Avenue, New York, NJ 10010, provides investment advisory products and services. IndexIQ® is an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of New York Life Investment Management Holdings LLC and serves as the advisor to the IndexIQ ETFs. ALPS Distributors, Inc. (ALPS) is the principal underwriter of the ETFs. NYLIFE Distributors LLC is a distributor of the ETFs. NYLIFE Distributors LLC is located at 30 Hudson Street, Jersey City, NJ 07302. ALPS Distributors, Inc. is not affiliated with NYLIFE Distributors LLC. NYLIFE Distributors LLC is a Member FINRA/SIPC.

1805261

Salvatore J. Bruno

Chief Investment Officer and Managing Director | IndexIQ

Sal is Chief Investment Officer at IndexIQ, where his primary responsibility includes developing and maintaining the firm’s investment strategies. Sal joined IndexIQ in 2007 from Deutsche Asset Management (DeAM) where he held a number of senior positions

Full Bio

Leave a Reply

Your e-mail address will not be published.